Model Validation

To validate the dynamic landcover model, we iteratively withheld 1/10th of the training data in a k-fold crossvalidation exercise on 50,000 training locations distributed across the Cascadia region. Each fold was spatially independent, so the withheld fold did not overlap in space with the training folds. The table below shows the producers, users, and overall accuracy averaged across the 10 folds in the crossvalidation.

Landcover Class
water
snow_ice
barren
emergent wetland
woody wetland
mesic grass forb
xeric grass forb
mesic shrub
xeric shrub
deciduous forest
coniferous forest
pasture
mesic rowcrops
orchard
xeric rowcrops
fallow
developed high intensity
developed medium intensity
user's accuracy

water

2987

0

1

11

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

99.57%

snow_ice

0

974

24

0

0

0

0

1

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

97.40%

barren

3

18

2750

2

1

0

9

0

51

1

2

0

4

1

1

12

115

30

91.67%

emergent wetland

27

0

10

1960

168

46

25

42

15

12

5

92

17

36

4

5

15

21

78.40%

woody wetland

0

0

7

148

1783

27

0

74

2

161

268

6

3

10

0

0

2

9

71.32%

mesic grass forb

0

0

0

43

28

2799

0

953

1

31

82

24

9

3

7

2

0

18

69.98%

xeric grass forb

0

0

2

0

0

11

2096

0

354

0

0

0

1

0

6

28

0

2

83.84%

mesic shrub

0

0

0

36

28

1036

0

2478

1

113

267

14

3

10

1

0

0

13

61.95%

xeric shrub

0

0

62

1

0

4

275

2

2142

0

0

0

0

1

0

6

0

7

85.68%

deciduous forest

0

0

0

8

71

17

0

21

0

3867

16

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

96.68%

coniferous forest

0

0

9

9

207

76

1

345

6

120

4210

1

0

1

0

0

0

15

84.20%

pasture

0

0

0

119

5

77

9

14

2

0

2

1180

32

23

1

4

2

30

78.67%

mesic row crops

0

0

2

16

3

29

13

3

2

0

1

35

1594

121

121

50

0

10

79.70%

orchard

0

0

6

22

1

8

12

12

1

0

1

22

158

1199

0

30

0

28

79.93%

xeric row crops

0

0

11

13

1

29

24

8

7

1

1

4

165

8

827

394

0

7

55.13%

fallow

0

0

14

13

0

60

99

5

45

1

0

31

112

56

303

741

1

19

49.40%

developed high intensity

0

0

45

5

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

5

6

4

0

1

3458

473

86.45%

developed medium intensity

0

0

55

13

8

9

2

8

6

0

5

33

2

28

1

6

441

3383

84.58%

producer's accuracy

99.01%

98.19%

91.73%

81.03%

77.35%

66.19%

81.68%

62.48%

81.29%

89.76%

86.63%

81.55%

75.69%

79.88%

65.02%

57.94%

85.70%

83.22%

overall accuracy

80.86%

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